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Old 31st Mar 2015, 01:03
  #2738 (permalink)  
Leightman 957
 
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Clinton WA
Age: 75
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RE FDR not recovered, no point of impact, depression, recurrence?

Previous posts note that it is the FDR memory, not the FDR chassis, which remains missing.Just saying.

“No point of impact” is assumed because one has not been published and there is no apparent hole in the ground. Previous posts have described the geography as loose rock that can and does regularly shift down slopes which are all steep; impact would loosen much material and bury debris. Angle of a jangled repose is operant.

Depression, if relevant, is a contributor, not realistically as solitary reason for copilot's assumed actions. Many other significant contributors to irrational actions have so far been listed and it is that list, not individual factors, that matters.

There have been many posts claiming that recurrence of this type of event is miniscule. “With today's unequalled airline safety, 65,000 flights per day...” In one sense it is. But the actual equation is more like the chances of “picking” a winning Lotto or MegaMillions ticket, which is 1 in 259 million where I live. Hit the Lotto jackpot, you get filthy rich, and it only ruins your life. Fly once a year, in a year where there is only one unexplained airliner crash killing all aboard, and your chances of 'success” are 65000 x 365 or 1 in 23,725,000. Twenty three million is a big figure, but millions of Americans (half in fact!) annually spend billions combined to play/pay Lotto in the belief they have a better chance at hitting it big than dying in an airliner crash, even though it is ten times more probable that one will die flying on today's “safest ever” airlines than hitting the jackpot. While not wishing to be macabre, the outcomes are some what different, one requiring new financial management, the other with the airline passenger 'winner' being crushed, mashed, jellied, burned alive, fragmented, drowned, poisoned, or otherwise sliced and diced in new and different ways. Along I might add, with entire families which causes proportionally larger the social ripples of grief, anger and confidence questioning. My point is that the current event is fraught with potential not yet fully argued about. One should never forget the mercurial nature of public opinion.
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