I'm aware of the details of a local nuclear conflict, and consider it a risk which needs to be taken seriously.
India could well get fed up with Pakistan failing to rein in its religious nutters, indeed even one more Mumbai could do it. Of course, they would have to be some kind of headcase to start anything, but the region is full of them.
Holy Loch - sorry, strictly speaking I mean HMNB Clyde in Gare Loch and RNAD Coulport just round the corner in Loch Long. Holy Loch is just across from them, where the Yanks used to be.