Short-term scenario, (next 4 year period);
The country is in debt, the books need to be balance, police don't have the budgets they used to, cuts need to be made and forces can't afford the air support contributions they used to make.
NPAS solution - close bases and get rid of aircraft, (whilst increasing the backroom staff numbers, naturally!) Tea and medals all round.
Medium-term scenario, (2020-2025 ish)
The country is out of debt, there is more money for public services, police budgets increase. PCC's (if they still exist) demand more air support with quicker response times, i.e. local air support units.
NPAS solution - errrrrrr, hang on a minute, errrrrrrrr, I know the answer to this one, errrrrrr, can I interest you in a fixed wing? errrrrrr, ask me again next month when I have retired, byeeeeeeee.