Fine, N-a-B. But you've still not answered the question of "how small a conventional force are you prepared to tolerate to have CASD Trident?" It's a fair question, as asked by LO.
Actually that's not the question LO or yourself asked. Both of you postulate that FF2020 levels will be cut as a result of replacing the V-boats and eventually Trident. Without any evidence to support that.......
As far as any actual evidence goes, the EPP funds FF2020, which answers the question of what the conventional force level will be. As I noted previously, no-one is particularly happy with that, but we'll have to live with it. It's certainly more credible than a proposal with so many holes in it, it can get picked to pieces in half a day on t'internet.
Speaking of which, as Biggus notes - endorsements from active contributors and nuclear disarmament pressure groups are hardly an independent critique.
If further cuts are required to fund Successor,
which btw is pure speculation, not fact, then it will get looked at. One might argue that an 82000-strong army is too large for supporting a Bde over a sustained period, which is probably the max effort we would look to commit to. But that's getting ahead of ourselves.
Now speaking of unanswered questions, perhaps you'd like to detail why the Duff option 2 isn't required, or how you calculated ingress attrition (not just your SAM defence ivo the target) and how much fuel (and hence tanker support) is required to get the resulting number of Dave-C from the UK to Western Russia? Or how much local ORP defence and FP is going to cost? Or how much the additional FJ squadrons (how many does this need?) are going to cost in terms of manpower, infrastructure etc? Or are you assuming F35 replaces Typhoon, in which case who or what is providing for UKAD while your Dave force is dispersed, sitting in ORP HAS getting bombed up?
Take a B for effort, you've obviously put a lot into this. It's just a shame it started with a desired answer and then conducted a study to support that conclusion.