.Quick world with our friends in the middle east to increase oil production driving down the price for a few months and Russia will be bankrupt and begging people to use it's airspace.
Big picture folks. It won't happen because there is a limit to what the west will put up with. You don't need to fire a shot to bring down a government these days. It's only the unenlightened that still do that.
Come on - the price of oil is directly related to sudden changes in the posture of major oil suppliers. Middle eastern capacity may or may not be near limits, but with China now buying a lot of oil from Iraq and Saudi more or less acknowledging it's running near capacity (someone correct me if I am wrong here) big scares have rapid results in pushing oil prices up. Russia won't be bankrupt in a hurry, and countries cannot afford to stop buying energy its various forms in any hurry either.
It's becoming a very difficult situation.