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Old 20th Jun 2014, 05:57
  #14 (permalink)  
nolimitholdem
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
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No one, including EK - especially EK - cares about your lifestyle. As some US trips go to the A380, new ones go to the B777 (BOS, ORD). Some, like JFK go from one to the other and back, or both (201/203/205). Or they add the aircraft with cargo capacity back to the route, as is heavily rumoured for destinations like LAX.

*shrug*

I think glofish has the most cogent analysis I've read.

I can't see the 748 coming. It's a four-legged dinosaur, just as is the dugong.

AS per a LH colleague, the performance per nm/lb seems almost equal on 380, 77W and 748 (all in the LH extended fleet), which says it all: Two 5 year old marvels can only match a 25 year old. Impressive not.

Physics are the limit and transporting too much dead weight will punish you, even being the most fervent 380 or 748 fan.

Even Airbus rightfully sees the 77X as the most serious enemy (see article), not only for the 350, but even more for the 380. Upgrading it with new engines is pretty much futile, it does not fight the initial design handicap. Their reluctance to go ahead is therefore understandable, the resources have to go to the 350, to make it able to compete with the 77X. EK's offloading of the actual 350 says it all.

Wait for EK to cancel the last 50 380's if there is no re-engine program coming. Maybe not today, but when the "Asian face rubbing" fades out, the oil price picks up even more and the customers get a little scarcer and finally when the initial subsidies by cheap purchasing and leasing evaporates, i can see Timmy's successor correct some arrogant over-eagerness of today's management.

If there would be anything taking a space of a 380, it would certainly not be a 748.
Nailed it. It isn't about A vs B, it's about whether a machine that may make money at $100 oil makes money at $150/bbl oil, $200/bbl oil...
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