PFMG,
It's a fun game to daydream about what may be but I'd buy you something far stronger than a beer if you were right.
Interestingly though, if for example the decision was made to go for the P-8 in SDSR 15, they could be delivered in 2018. If we adopted the same model for crew manning as the USN, that would be a 9 person crew with 3 pilots, 2 WSO and 4 WSOp. Multiply that by 16 = 48 pilots required + 32 WSO + 64 WSOp, without including OCU, Standards and Sqn execs.
Looks like definite jobs for the retired Tonka backseaters then!