The topic raised by CSR is true, but is dependant on your position on the seniority list. The figures quoted are both on the lower side of actual. The point though is very much valid and raises the question of why no 12 month planning?
CF took great pleasure in telling wash-up groups that EK have man power reviews every 3 weeks compared to other airlines who do it 4-6 months, and thats because EK supposedly monitor the situation closely.
However CF was a little taken back when it was pointed out that instead of being a good thing, that FACT shows the opposite. Yes or no - net gain of 24 a/c next year? Yes (CF & CPA), so 24 x number of crews required to operate them. Add expected leavers = Man power requirement for 2014/15!

Only thing to monitor is the recruitment and that is a different topic.
Payscale is right, 4 yrs for UG, but once again that time doesn't take into consideration future UG. The last UG on the list has been in EK for 4yrs. However look at the number of F/O's who, this time next year, would of been in EK for 4 yrs+: There's around 450 of them!!
It is easy to say "get over it", especially if you're already a Capt.