Facts. We have science and technology because Man didn't wait for facts. He guessed and he imagined and he tried and he demonstrated.
It's perfectly obvious that the chances this was not a carefully planned act of vengeance is somewhat less than my winning Lotto. Of course someone does win Lotto, so it's not impossible it was the wrong kind of fire at the wrong place at the wrong time.
The fact is, the Universe is based on probabilities, and so is our knowledge of it; how we make sense of it.