Dillboy,
Only when Inmarsat's senior people appear wandering round London in sackcloth and ashes. They've been very clear.
Before the Inmarsat statement, there was no reason to look anywhere else but the South China Sea. Now there's no reason to look there.
Yesterday's French radar note was interesting, but it's gone quiet since. It might be that it took France two weeks to extract the information, and so it'll take everyone else with similar tools another two weeks to confirm it.