How much notice would the west have of an imminent invasion if it came? How soon before our western media twigged something was about to happen?
There seems to be quite a few journos in the east of the country who may pick up a vibe that something is afoot. Not sure if there are any over the border in Russia. Of course they could be tipped off by our intelligence services that Russia was going to make a move.
Strangely or not the FTSE finished a few points up today, so perhaps the harder faced people in the money markets mustn't be too freaked by it all. Perhaps nothing will happen at all.
Down half a percent so far this AM - not sure if in response to Lavrov press conference or something else. I read over the weekend that there's a fair amount of western (primarily German) investment in Ukraine in their agricultural and industrial sector. Big potential fall-out if these get impeded/damaged or sequestered.
What I would like to know is what has happened to all those security forces and troops which were out and about up until last week. Have they all done a runner or are they confined to barracks? Also, whose keeping a watch on the armouries? Someone already appears to have got their hands on a BRDM, according to Sky this AM. Surely this must factor into any potential Russian move - the last thing they want is for every man and their dog to get their hands on an AK and RPG. Would make Chechnya look like a tea party.