To be honest the failure rate from the last few years of AI courses has been worryingly high, so the risk of transferring it to Toulouse is somewhat reduced.
Its a shame political BS gets in the way of doing the sensible thing - this would have been the perfect opportunity to bring the whole thing in house @ MUAC.
If you are good enough, you should make it. If you are borderline, ill admit your chances of 'getting through' are reduced..... everybody @ MUAC wants trainees to pass, so if you make it through the front door in Beek you have a strong chance IMO.