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Old 17th January 2002 | 00:21
  #4 (permalink)  
scroggs
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25 Anniversary
 
Joined: Dec 1997
: ATPL
Posts: 4,929
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From: Suffolk UK
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Polestar,
do you seriously think that all airline recruiting will be over and done with in three years' time? That doesn't bode well for the continuing existence of any of our jobs! Come on, do think it through a little.
Any cursory study of the post-war (WWll) airline industry reaveals a roughly 10-year cycle. At the high points of the cycle (most recently 1998-2000) there are pilot shortages; the rest of the time there is a varying surplus of pilots over jobs. Although the overall industry continues to expand on average (and will again soon), so does the number of would-be pilots in training, so this cyclic behaviour isn't likely to change.
Right now, there are considerably more wannabes than jobs. But the low cost airlines are already bucking the trend, and most of the majors now believe that the worst of the current problems are over. This much can be gleaned from reading the newspapers. Therefore, it would be logical to assume that there will indeed be jobs available in the industry in two or three years' time, and that the industry will be enjoying a great time whilst bounding towards its next crisis in 2010-11!
As for being to old at 24-25, please! If you were 45 you might have some cause to worry.
I think you need to apply a little common sense to your questions - I hope you think through your exam questions more thoroughly! <img src="wink.gif" border="0">
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