I hope the ever optimistic mr racedo is right but I have a sneaking suspicion that Anna_list has got it prettying spot on. Any base at an airport up for a new contract this winter is staring down the barrel of this announcement. I refer you to the goings on at BRS last winter as a precedent. Far more likely over capacity, under performance or rising costs have been identified and those aircraft redeployed. But those cuts won't get the big announcement.
To be fair I did flag up airframe availability in post 1665. Anna is generally spot on.
But doubt that this has happened without a plan.