500N,
Not to beat about the bush Israel would seem logical (south I believe). It would really kick off some aggro. Lets face it, I doubt he believes he could beat the US in a straight fight, but why would he fight straight. And if he has the attitude, "I won t go as easily as Saddam or Gaddafi, I'll take as many as I can with me", who knows. I still believe though that Akrotiri would at least present a static target if he's attacked. Are you thinking Jordan (South east) ?
Smudge