Should a layperson (that is, like me) understand phrase "fairly certain" as used by A-Squared to mean either: (a) no more certain than in the old order, before Internet communication such as this, and therefore all meaninglessly preliminary, because Only NTSB Knows, or (b) representative of a shift in relevant knowledge and communication parameters large enough to suggest a new order?
Well, let me answer this way: If this were the pre-internet, pre Google-earth days, I could come to the same conclusions I stated using the USGS topo maps for the area, a scale, and the news report with Ms Benson's statement about the plane striking her trees and the location of her property
It just would have taken a little more effort.