Growth at BOH
My post 569, set out how KLM are likely to view things. They are hurting because the Gulf carriers and easyjet are taking both point to point and long haul traffic away from KLM.
KLM will see BOH as one of several UK airports to redress some of that loss, they will look at markets that the Gulf carriers and ezy do not reach today. Will it happen? Maybe 20 percent probability, but if Flybe were to disappear, I would increase the odds to 80 percent that KLM would step into SOU.
The SOU code share today on AMS route benefits mainly Flybe who have their own revenue challenges. The Flybe code share will have almost no impact to KLM and hence not feature highly in KLM deliberations about new routes.
Even so the daily pax throughput of any KLM route AMS BOH, would only be about the same as one more RYR rotation per day... Perhaps 100k pax per year! SOU AMS is operating at about that level today.
BRS AMS for example is about 300k pax per year, based on the KLM schedule that says that EZY has about 65 percent of the market! Good for Amsterdam, bad for KLM.
The LCC are much more important to the future of Hurn and growth in general.
FF
Last edited by Flitefone; 3rd Aug 2013 at 17:06.