BOAC:
an ETOPS diversion on near min fuel plus a subsequent g/a, all flown under a stressful situation, carries a high probability of an accident in the ensuing visual circuit
I have no doubt that such a scenario would be extremely stressful and carry with it a high degree of risk. I understand that the ETOPS minimum fuel reserves are based on such a scenario, but I have to ask what are the chances of it happening in the real world? Would changing the ETOPS requirements actually do anything to improve safety outcomes and prevent the type of accident that occurred in SFO? I doubt it.