Hang on stop. I'm not doom mongering I just asked a question and gave what I think is a fairly logical view?
First of all lets stop with all the 100000hr, 300000hr Super Puma flight hour stats. As we can see from the 2 accidents you had one go in after 160ish hours the other after almost 4000 and both well before the life of the shaft.
Add to the fact even an interim fix is 9 months in the making and a final fix another year away this is clearly not a trivial matter.
However like I said EC have thrown the kitchen sink at it and like you said with all the other measures it is unlikely to happen so why therefore make the assumption with the MOD45 alarm?
I'm not trying to be sensationalist I'm just asking the question why and how can you make that assumption??