I currently teach EOLs at CFS Shawbury. Experienced (2000+) pilots go solo EOLs after approx 3hrs concentrated practice. They can hit a large field easily, but would struggle to make a nominated point consistently. Basic students? By the end of the course I have a checklist- 50/50 if they make nominated field + If they flare at the right height. 80/20 if they check the lever at a sensible height. !00% if they level and cushion. ie a sensible flare increases survivability by a huge margin. The rest? Panic, shock, disbelief, etc etc will erode a lot of their instinct and training, however we must still do the training to give pilots every chance. Teaching EOLs is fantastic, if instructors don't want to do it- quit now!