Well informed Indonesian aviation sources says the aircraft undershoot.
It never made the runway at landing at Denpassar airport. Runway is next to the ocean.
Aircraft is btw just two months old. Delivered by Boeing in February 2013 to Malindo (sister company of Lion Air based in Malaysia). After one month it went to Lion Air
Malindo Air - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Runway in use at Denpassar at time of crash was 09.