PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - How many years to get automated aircraft drones?
Old 18th Mar 2013, 01:32
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airbus_adarsh
 
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I too think its just a matter of time. Aircraft are the most predictable when it comes to type of transport and we already have a lot of automation now a days. However there will always be opposition until a lot is proven and rightly so.

Cars are recently being tried and even though 2 states have allowed these it still takes a lot of time of adopt these. By the these rules trickle down to developing countries it will at least be a good 7 - 10 years. These are just the rules. By the time majority of cars on road are automated it will be a good amount of time .

However I think the airline industry is much more flexible . Even if a new plane will be operating for like 20 years, because its a global industry dominated by few manufactures (at least for commercial) , the adoption scale is global. About 10-15 years from now we could expect something to be made. But by the everyone will be flying in one of those, I won't be living to see it.

Unless of course we don't have any accidents in between that seem to expose an underlying problem . I think the industry is fairly tried and tested but we can't rule out anything , one problem can change everything .

I think trains should be first tried for full automation. They lie somewhere inbetween both in terms of predictability.
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