Will the draft AAIB report have a conclusion like this...
Here is a filleted AAIB summary into a recent A109 fatal accident , that was inconclusive. It will be familiar reading to certain diligent rotorheads. My concern is that, inspite of the Herculean efforts of the AAIB, we will get another summary in similar terms in twelve months time.
"The accident occurred when the helicopter flew at a near constant height, heading and groundspeed into XXXX. No technical fault was identified in the examination of the wreckage, but given the extreme disruption of the airframe and flying controls, a full inspection was not possible and therefore a technical fault cannot be completely ruled out. The helicopter impacted the terrain some 100 ft below the summit height of XXXX ft.
Without clearer evidence of the pilot’s actions or intentions, no conclusive causal factors for the accident could be established. However, as possible contributory factors, it is likely that the upper slopes of the ridge were obscured by cloud and some combination of visual or distracting factors led the pilot to consider that he was clear of terrain. Whilst there was no evidence of any pre-existing condition or disease, subtle pilot incapacitation could not be ruled out."