CAO48 variations, 3 crew DBX and LAX will make almost 50% of 380/744
s/o's redundant.........I hope this does not happen.
Won't happen, the variation doesn't provide that much scope. Emirates operate two Capt, two F/o's to Australia from Dxb and back under the equivalent of the JAA regs FTLs which are less restrictive than the CAO48 variation.
Reduction in s/o numbers will occur mainly by the aircraft operating dxb-Lhr-dxb two man crew, 30 in 7 won't be a problem until the dxb-syd(mel) sector home but that will have two s/o's so no problems.
With the amount of retirements forecast over the next 10 years in both SH and LH I think management will continue to manage surpluses with lwop instead of redundancies.
Disclaimer though is Joyce is unpredictable.
