PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Bahrain and the war
View Single Post
Old 26th January 2003 | 21:43
  #10 (permalink)  
Gnadenburg
20 Anniversary
 
Joined: Jun 2002
: ATPL
Posts: 2,238
Likes: 218
From: Eden Valley
Conchi

Your sensitivity and naivity to my laconic use of humour toward a fellow countrymen is part of the reason the world is on fire. Humour and tolerance would go a long way in your region.

You are such a serious little thing how about we revisit the threat to Bahrain in more detail. It is either Scud missiles or domestic/foreign sponsoured acts of terrorism.

Iraq, in the event of war, has little capability to project force on Bahrain. The air force of Iraq is poorly trained and the air defence umbrella over Bahrain would make air attack an unlikely threat. Naval capability of Iraq similar. If you have no means of controlling the air or sea than Iraq's army poses little threat to Bahrain aswell.

This leaves the Scud missiles. As a conventional weapon they pose a threat to Bahrain. How many does Saddam have? With a combination of the following, limited number, a desire to attack Israel, coalition hunter-killer efforts probably not enough to do much more than inflict limited damage on Bahrain. I am not discounting a lucky shot though.

One Ball may have overstated the chem/bio/nuclear threat of Iraq's Scud missiles. The integration of a chemial or bioligical package on a Scud is difficult and hopefully as 91 proved, beyond Iraq. Though Iraqs nuclear programme is advanced(?) the integration of a nuclear warhead on a Scud difficult again.

How difficult it is it to make a dirty Scud? Packing a Scud with radioactive material and launching it at Tel Aviv is not by itself a Doomsday scenario. The Israeli response in the current climate may well be though!

Somebody else can talk about the domestic threats to Bahrain.

There you have it. Make up your own mind. There is lots of info out there so don't rely on the man on the street style info. Most is exaggerated.

Conchi, by your last remarks you sound as though a lady lavished with gifts, jewells and gold. The US Navy threat may not be of much relevance to you.
Gnadenburg is online now