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Old 22nd Oct 2012, 17:01
  #1486 (permalink)  
racedo
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
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Three months is all that the EU will require FR to pull off routes and open up competition. After 91 days expect the biggest "seat sale" that the world has seen. If you look back to recent history then you only have to see the blood on the floor when Easy tried flying into the Republic.
Different scenario as that was U2 parking its tanks on the lawn and then realising the lawn was really a swamp. U2 were never serious about this.

I don't see FR doing this as frankly it gains it nothing.......

Some old routes................great but you ignore the bigger picture.

FR is dealing with EU across Europe rather than just being an Irish domestic player. In going back on routes after 3 months would be seen as a sign of acting in bad faith.

This would get remembered each and every discussion with EU that takes place. Whether you acknowledge it or not Ryanair is a multimillion pound business that doesn't need that kind of hassle.

Give whoever flying the route 18 month to 2 years before going back is different because that is a reasonable length of time to build up a business. If you cannot do it in that time then you will never do it.


Even Veradkar who isn't exactly the sharpest tool in the box has acknowledged only last week that overseas/non irish airlines can't be expected to be loyal to Ireland. In other words they will scarper when the going gets tough. Also the LHR slots will be much more valuable flying somewhere else and no doubt with the right political posturing then they can turn them into long haul slots should the need arise in the future. The government acknowledged this about 6 months ago when they conceded that there is no cast iron way that they can ensure that the LHR slots are kept once they sell their shares.
Actually there is nothing stopping FR owning the slots and leasing them out to someone serving Dub-LHR, simply proviso is that is what they are used for. Leasing out assets like this or brand names or intellectual property is normal in business.

Aer Lingus have happily leased out slots before to other airlines.

A simple requirement is that FR cannot use the slots for a period of 5 years minimum unless there is no other airline willing to use the slots to provide competition to existing users. If FR are getting €x million a year for the slots then why have the hassle.
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