Hold Pool Profile
I think the 150 hold pool number is way out there... Unless some has better info than me: think about what we know. We don't have everyone on pprune but we get a profile and seems to be Feb, March, half April and 2 in may. First half of Feb got start dates... That was 16. At that rate they make 32 successful candidates every month. To expand... At 50% success rate that's 64 selections per month total. That's 15/ week and passes the reasonableness test. So... The good news is that the most the may have in the pool is 16 x 2.5 months + 2 in May. That puts my estimate at 42 - 16 hired is 24 remaining. They will hire 16 more for Feb and March then you start turning to pumpkins. Leaving 8 guys getting the shaft. I think holding 42 or 2 - 3 classes makes way more sense. So chin up. May not be as competitive as you think.