PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Go-around after engine failure in light twin
Old 11th Jan 2003, 16:51
  #142 (permalink)  
Final 3 Greens
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Slim

The posters who have pointed out the necessity of relating small probability and severity of consequence have it right.
This is the key. I live next door to an 18,000 hour plus ATPL who has never had an engine failure.

Bluskis has had some hairy moments.

You are looking at numbers across a huge sample and all you are seeing is the result of a normal distribution - 98% of the variance will be contained in 2 standard deviations.

If the other 2% doesn't concern you, then you have established a persoanl risk tolerance that is usable.

But it doesn't alter the probability/severity relationship