PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Engine failure @ night (SE)
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Old 10th January 2003 | 20:36
  #29 (permalink)  
Final 3 Greens
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Matspart3

100% or engines failures where the engine wouldn't start again were found to be in this category Seriously, I don't think you could assemble a homogenous enough sample for the probability to be too meaningful.

Night SEP flying is very safe unless you are one of the very small number of people who has a big problem - I remember a C172 going into the Forth in darkness a few years ago, can't think of one in the news since.

So if you play the probability game, it's likely to be small, but the impact is potentially very severe - so what is the total systemic risk? Most likely a matter of opinion.

Classic risk management offers 4 options - (a) avoidance (b) mitigation (c) acceptance and (d) transference to a 3rd party.

Assuming that (d) is not viable here, you can choose not to fly at night (a), fly near the airfield as I do or some other action (b) or (c) take the view that it won't happen to you - looking at the small instance of incidents this is a serious option.

I haven't got the numbers to hand, but I read a report last year that asserted that GA flying is much more hazardous than driving per se and demonstrated that it is airline ops which are mcuh safer.

Cheers

F3G