Originally Posted by
aterpster
henra:
There was discussion much earlier that the TCAS(TAWS) may have had a regional terrain database, which did not include the area in question.
Agreed! As single Issue I would agree it may not have been very reliable and there could be an explanation why to diregard it.
It is just the combination with other Issues that makes it -in my Eyes- not the most likely overall scenario.
Looking back at most accidents Occam's Razor has an excellent hit rate. Maybe this is one óf the exceptions.
But I only tend to believe it if there is substantial evidence pointing in the direction of a scenario that needs (too) many assumptions. So far I don't.