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Old 13th Dec 2002, 19:53
  #17 (permalink)  
West Coast
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: surfing, watching for sharks
Posts: 4,090
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EuroATC

1. One plans for the future. With the current downturn there are lots of pilots available. Many who will not be willing to go back and make the wages they did when they started out. Of the dozen or so I know who are on furlough from a number of majors, none are willing to go back and start over at the bottom wrung. The military is producing fewer pilots, and the possibility of GA doing the same is a problem in the making down the road, Not now. Private starts are down as is. Again dont look at the current atmosphere, look to the future. I promise you, these are not my thoughts, but those in the industry who know the facts unlike you and me.

2. Are you kidding? We are having a problem filling the planes now with other than bargain fares. We are losing a boatload of money now just to maintain cashflow. Drop your notional 10% on top of that and I am out of a job.

3. What type of modeling did yoy use to come up with your number of 10%? A number you pulled out of thin air, or one
that has been researched.
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