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Old 24th Feb 2012, 14:43
  #56 (permalink)  
24Carrot
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Now here's a interesting speculation.

Let us suppose for a moment that pilots only see 10% of the traffic, so then there is only a 1% chance that both pilots see each other.

So now most pilots think they are 10x better than average, because 90% of the time they see "the traffic", and evade, but the other aircraft carries on S&L, obviously "not keeping a good lookout like I do".

Most pilots will be too modest to actually say that, (unless they are glider pilots, of course), they will just think it!

I suspect this is similar to the "logic" that makes 80% of car drivers believe they are better than average.

There is a serious point here. If the typical pilot is mostly seeing traffic without being seen, one could indeed conclude that most traffic is missed.
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