Hval,
i think you are correct - if anyone were to actually look at the spiral of government action/rhetoric, media coverage, and public demonstrations, this only going one way. nobody in Argentina is saying 'hang on', its all a viscous circle on incitement and can only have some type of military action as its end state.
the Argentine government is going to find itself in a position - self caused - where it has to have some kind of pop at the FI in order to stay in office. now, losing that pop may well result in it losing office, but that is less certain than the fact that it will get kicked out if it drives Argentina to the precipice and then saying 'nah, we told proone that we'd stick to peaceful means...'
who the fcuking hell believes what foreign governments - particularly ones who claim UK territory - say anyway?