Cx does save quite a bit using bases and they'd like it to continue.
WRONG, try again. They save so much they are seriously considering winding them up and if they can force everyone onto HKPA returning to HKG, then consider that the last straw. My guess is they will offer commutable contracts in exchange for based guys to give up their housing. Look for that in 2012. Once enough guys sign that right away, they will slowly roster longer and longer trips out of HKG
You assume that it is up to Cathay. The reasons bases are in trouble are external to Cathay. If it were so simple, EVERY AIRLINE would have the same basing situation. But the reality is that it does not work, politically, financially and immigration wise. That is why no airline out there has the same base situation we have.
Cathay right now is dealing with the fallout of this. They KNOW basings are dead, but right now they are still very much putting out the fire. As this fire is raging, there are still recruits coming to live in the burning building so it is in Cathay's interest to tell everyone the building is still sound.
You will know bases are dead when you get the transfer letter back to HKG with a nice sign or resign spot at the bottom. Even then, they will still be telling new recruits that they have bases and that they will be available in the future. They will get as much mileage from the dead bases as they possibly can.
That is what many airlines do (Emirates, Hainan, HK Airlines, Air China). Go look at Air China, they have been advertising "bases available soon" for two years now. And it is always the dangling carrot at Emirates, they love how the rumor hangs around. Quick, apply now with a Xian base, it is only temporary. And while you are at it, I have some property on the moon you should really take a look at. The nights are a bit chilly, but you have loads of room and will never complain about your neighbors. Quick, act now, supplies are limited!!
