Anyway, good spot, Orac. So what's your take on what happens next?
Cynically?
Smuggle a warhead into Iran (using non-western fissile material) and plant it near one of their main development site and set it off at a time when it can be made to look like an Iranian accident.
No missiles fired so no-one can conclusively point the finger elsewhere. Any claims will look like an excuse for incompetence.
Destruction of a good part of the Iranian programme sites and engineers.
Maximum internal anger and unrest at the government at the loss of life, hopefully leading to regime change.
And for any other neighbour tempted to develop their own weapons (as several are doing in response to Iran), a sobering lesson in the consequences of either failure.......or success.
But then, I'm a cynic.
