There is nothing concrete about the IMCR anywhere, currently.
But its demise is very unlikely.
If you go back a few years, EASA's position was total absolute standardisation across the EU (unless it was France in which case they could keep all their stuff
).
In very recent months, they have abandoned that position.
It could be political reality, driven by the current near meltdown of the EU. Obviously that doesn't help EASA, which needs the EU to pass the laws, but I wouldn't over-estimate it. EASA, as an employment agency,
will run at maximum speed until it hits the rocks. There is no other option. Turkeys will never vote for xmas.
I think that more likely they have spent a lot of political capital (meaning: under the table assurances given to Euro MPs, as covert inducements for supporting EASA proposals) on what they have dragged out so far, and they cannot pull off another "Poll Tax sized" project cleanly. The only way forward is to compromise here and there.
The French national IR has been another factor. Ostensibly it cannot exist past April 2012, or April 2014, or whatever, but everybody knows that the French will just run with it, and stick a finger up to EASA/EU. This snub of EU authority would have hit EASA hard because they know that the UK could do the same if it wanted to, and the EU could do absolutely zero, zilch, nowt about it.
If you want any more, get yourself the complete set of Yes Minister DVDs, watch it, and come back if you have any questions
EASA is
politics, not aviation.