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Old 8th Sep 2011, 18:27
  #1955 (permalink)  
Tonyq
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Isle of Man
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Well, looking at the July pax figures, BE are still the dominant operator on the route with 58% market share so it would be strange for them to pull out.

Load factors (July) coincidentally are 46% for both operators. BE's accounts show that across their network average LF is 63%, so a good bit lower than that, but EZY generally looking for 85%, so well adrift of where they want to be.

I don't think anyone here knows what the yields are, but simply checking out a few random forward dates suggests that BE are selling many more tickets in the higher price brackets than EZY, so must be generating more revenue per seat mile.

I treat this notion that BE will pull out with a big pinch of salt. If they left it to EZY, the uplift in seats EZY would need to offer to service LPL could well result in pax being drawn away from MAN too. That would be a big risk for BE to take.

More likely scenario is for BE to trim capacity off-peak and tough it out until EZY get bored or find something better to do with their aircraft..........but you never know!
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