I tend to agree re a series of extensions past 2014 being a likely outcome.
However there is another angle on all this: the French IR was clearly designed to lead the way to being a lot more than a French-airspace-only job. I am hearing more and more stuff on other countries adopting it, and if that happens, the EASA stuff will effectively get bypassed.
The bottom line is that France can do it if they want to, and the EU is not going to impose a ban on French beef exports, or send Virgil and his
Thunderbird 1 to nuke the DGAC HQ.