In the photo in post #8, the wreckage pile on the right includes the tail so the motion of the aircraft must have been from right (south) to left (north). The trail does not cross the stream cut. The "x" in Aterpster's map may well mark the impact point accurately.
I still find the suggestion that he was circling to land on Rwy 17 difficult to accept. A tailwind of 10-15 knots straight down the runway should present no difficulties for a 737.