I'd Plan ELW Direct EN and try to stay CTA. Give them a call at ELW to see how your clearance is looking. They normally advise me to fly as planned and give a time to call again, or tell me plum, that clearance will not be available.
If they tell me no, then I head to the alternate plan of ELW-Glenburn (gap)-YCEM-DSN-EN. (kilmore isn't always the best option, and glenburn is little less known)
Failing that, you could get some of the locals to fly out and meet you on the deck at YMNG, or YMFD and give you the best goss for the day
Cheers
Jas