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Old 4th Aug 2011, 23:57
  #2612 (permalink)  
bearfoil
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For many reasons, not the least of which I find to be BEA propaganda, Nonsense PR from All Three principals, and a lack of sincere consideration, Long haul flight on AF has become (unwittingly) problematic

OPINION: The fact that remote mathematical odds are thrown about, I consider it whistling past the graveyard. The loss of an autopilot for any reason (and I have NOT accepted UAS or ICE had effall to do with it) means that one of three potential Pilots may be responsible for an aircraft that has ventured into mathematical probabilities of a demonstrable ONE IN THIRTY THREE HUNDRED OF crashing to the surface of the EARTH.

The odds of losing an auto pilot (disconnection as well as through malfunction) might be, one in one hundred? The chance of encountering bunk MET in ITCZ is likely what, ONE TO ONE?

So, 1/33 UAS
1/100 AP LOSS
1/1 BUNK MET

I see a chance of ONE in 3300 of coming to serious grief on AF.

Tell me again how utterly safe AVIATION IS?