Remoak you say,
Now go and work out the training capacity for all those new pilots. Guess what... supply doesn't even come close to matching demand. In fact it is going to be a major issue for airlines. Pilots are going to be in serious demand.
Agreed, where we part dramatically in view is; This upcoming shortage is precisely why the likes of Jetstar are frantically trying to lower T+C's and then to LOCK the victim into these T+C's.
This "locking in" of appalling terms is achieved in numerous ways,
1/ Get em while they're young in aviation experience (haven't had to take any pineapples yet so will be far less wary when first asked to bend over).
2/ Bond them for years
3/ Keep em on the financial treadmill by paying just enough to get by, but never ahead.
4/ Also I suspect every couple of years or so, there will be a requirement to relocate to another base at the large expense of the cadet (plus the uprooting of the family, lost jobs etc.). You know just to remind them who's boss.
5/ The ATPL question remains. These guys MAY not be upgradable at the end of their bond period. Whadayareckon Jetstar will do with them then?
