PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - AF 447 Thread No. 5
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Old 23rd Jul 2011, 15:27
  #590 (permalink)  
Ian W
 
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@3holelover
but that isn't going to hold me back from saying I think some of you (Bearfoil) are appearing to be frighteningly closed to the notion that the airplane may well have been just fine, but the PF screwed the pooch.

Good grief man, from what we "know" so far, it's the most logical solution to all questions.
I do believe you have just proven one of Bear's previous points.


Perhaps what you meant to say that the PF/PNF were put into cognitive overload by the system failures, sequence of error messages, failed indications and aircraft behaviors and changes of laws.

You might do well to read the seminal paper by Reason on the swiss cheese model of error propagation. There plenty of slices of holey cheese to pass around in most aircraft accidents and incidents.


(Google "Reason Swiss Cheese Model" there are lots of hits to read)

Edit:
As an example read the prescient introductory paras in this wiki entry - Organizational models of accidents - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Last edited by Ian W; 23rd Jul 2011 at 16:06.
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