TD good morning,
More than shifting the (at the time) fascination with sea bottom debris arrangement to AD disagree precursors, Shadow's post is illuminating. Airdata that became discrepant is assumed to be the cause of the accident, how did it come about? He introduces the concept that this phenomenon may have an actual beginning, and it may not be the "So, we have lost the Speeds"...
It has been addressed before, but not to the extent that people may include it in their concept of the progression of failures that brought 447 down. The direct cause of ICE in Pitots is considered to be microcrystalline particles. If in the area of some well distributed solid particles, it is reasonable to conclude the tubes may ingest these at some conforming rate. The Three tubes were "identical" in nature, differing perhaps in the degree of corrosion the drain holes had experienced in service. Dependent on the concentration and rate of uptake, it is logical to assume the Air Pressure differential migrated lower over time, indicating an airspeed that was progressively lower than actual value.
As the speeds declined, the ship would accommodate the "loss" of speed by increasing power, since energy needs to be added and altitude needs to remain the same, but as the a/c climbed anyway, (the energy was actually just right, the computer found it to be low because of ICE), the Nose would be lowered. This might continue until the a/c was zipping along at its assigned cruise level carrying too much power and actual velocity. Depending again on the rate of uptake, this false trimming would last until the a/c autopilot checked out, unable to control the Nose "hunting for a satisfactory Pitch". (AutoPhugoid?)
That is merely a hypothesis, BEA have not addressed through their data any such thing. Neither have they favored ICE as the reason for UAS, to my knowledge.
Autotrim. Takata is correct, of course. Except for one thing. The THS is a very large surface and can control Pitch without as much steady pressure as required by elevators alone. For this, the a/c pays a price in Response.
The Horizontal surface is powerful because it is large. Large things move more slowly than smaller things. To think that it is desirable that when a pilot needs response, he is awarded Power instead, and that lagging the possible cycles of deflection necessary, misses the point. By the time TRIM has "helped" it is not needed, and it becomes a handicap in the ability to maneuver. (AutoPhugoid?) At a/p loss, was it dropped because the Pitch oscillations were too great? Did the PF "chase" the THS all the way up to STALL, trying to get the nose down while still in the aft area of the BackStick? Unable to see THS deflection, would he be able to sense the lack of ND he wanted, thinking that at "neutral" stick, it was no such thing, just a steady increase NU? Who wants to chase TRIM all the way up to ballistic? Bottom line. Why Autotrim in dire circumstances. Obviously available, even mandatory, who needs it?
Needless to say, given the size of the THS, quick movement puts large mechanical demands on the surface, and the jackscrew that accomplishes the deflection. For the pilot to have considered that the THS was "AutoHelping" he would also need to determine that it was also a hindrance. Operating an airbus with the certain knowledge that the a/c was creating a problem is not perhaps in the cerebral databank of its operator. Likewise, the Manual Trim as safety device. The airbus needs a safety device? This may be too subtle for normal flight, but in the tall weeds it may have been a factor.
At the risk of parsing too closely, In the audio where the pilots are noticing "No indications", is it surprise one senses? Or Betrayal?
Last edited by bearfoil; 11th July 2011 at 14:48.