FP thats a pretty balanced view.
A couple of further observations so people can see how things change.
On the Hajj, over the past 3 months that has gone from a single 76, to 76 plus 330, to single 330, now 2 x 330's with a base change back to Batam! Which seems the solid position which we can bid on.
2 Months ago the a/c to be based away was a 330 for Scandi and a 75 in TFS for Condor. All change again, sounds like fun whatever the deal!
As far as the 3 330's leaving, there have been many whispers over the last few weeks that, in fact it will only be 2. But yesterday there were some indications from the Tour Operator that work currently transferring over to another operator might not all disappear from us. This is two separate rumours, which was why I have not posted anything specific, but it sounds hopeful.
re. Your info on Hawaii, I heard from engineers some weeks ago, and I laughed as it seemed so fanciful, just goes to show. LOL
We work in an unstable industry in the best of times, but right now just about anything could happen. Personally I'm more concerned about the state of the tour operator than the airline. It looks like the tailend of the summer will be a sea of red ink, we can only hope that margins are sufficient for these cut price holidays to be sold with a bit of profit.
MIllions of holidays still unsold as cash-strapped families abandon plans for summer breaks - mirror.co.uk