If you join now you will not make command within 3 - 4 years, regardless of how many are leaving. The days of the accelerated command are drawing down and if oil gets any pricier I imagine fleet size will be cut. Deliveries are schedule to end by the first quarter of 2012 with no further growth anticipated. There is already talk of base closures based on poor passenger figures and operational costs. Bases that only opened around 12 months ago. Ryanair has many get out clauses which enables it to walk away from airports that simply aren't working. Just look at BOH, VLC, KIR and BHD. The longer they stick around the more expensive it becomes as contracts are based on targets and failures to meet targets result in windfalls for airports. I reckon MOL will be looking long and hard at the Asian and Indian markets come winter in order to dispose of a few more unwanted 738s. Its of little wonder that the last lot ended up there! However dont despair, the SSTR will long continue; it's roots well embedded with FR
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And I'll say this. Get in fast because a Boeing TR holds a lot more worth than one on a Chinese cardboard cut out mushroom propelled puddle hopper. You don't want to be doing your TR in CAE Beijing now do you?
