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Old 23rd May 2011, 15:14
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planenut321
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Passenger Figures April 2011

Only 2 weeks late and they have released the route figures.

APRIL 2011

DESTINATION/PASSENGER APR 11/ PASSENGER APR 10/ % CHANGE/SEATS AVAILABLE/LFS

ABERDEEN/760/0/-/1618/46.97 **
ALICANTE/5988 /6784/-11.73
AMSTERDAM/10333/8541/20.98/12600/82.01
ANGLESEY (VALLEY/697/0/-/1596/44.0
ANTALYA/1290/790/63.29
ARRECIFE/3040 /2096/45.04
BELFAST CITY (GEORGE BEST/3118/3212/-2.93
BRIDGETOWN/508/256 /98.44
DALAMAN/1998/1188/68.18
DUBLIN/4916/4763/3.21/7920/62.07
EDINBURGH/6612/7710/-14.24/11232/58.87
FARO/1472/2983/-50.65
FUERTEVENTURA/1703/843/102.02
GENEVA/624/407/53.32
GLASGOW/4165/3740/11.36/7956/52.35
JERSEY/1117/1860/-39.95/1872 /59.67
LARNACA/183/0/-
LAS PALMAS/2362/1919/23.08
MALAGA/5745/6212/-7.52
MALTA/238/0/-
MONASTIR/889/1179/-24.60
MURCIA SAN JAVIER/1141/2140/-46.68
NEWCASTLE/1204/1638/-26.50/2836/42.45 **
NEWQUAY/253/0/-
PALMA DE MALLORCA/3399/4022/-15.49
PAPHOS/1583/1180/34.15
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)/2960/2365/25.16/4680/63.25
REUS/179/151/18.54
SHARM EL SHEIKH (OPHIRA)/3155/3960/-20.33
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)/7841/4522 /73.40
ZURICH 531/0/-/3200/16.59

Most routes show a rise due to the ash cloud. Some holiday routes are down as it all depends on when they started this summer compared to last, one week can mean the difference between 400 and 600 which is a drop of 1/3 or a gain of a half which ever way you look at it.

Some routes are quite worrying. EDI still dropping! Could this be due to Baby still being on it last year? At half the passengers that it used to carry in 2008. BHD down, NCL down.

For some routes I have done the Load Factors (% of seats filled). Some of BEs routes are doing well even EDI which is still carrying at 60%. JER is healthy and so it CDG. Others not, ZRH carrying at 15% in the first month. Not a great start but what we need is month on month growth. Big task for CWL.

Let you think of what you will with these results as they are not a great indication due to the ash cloud.

** Not sure if these figures are separate i.e. NCL figures people who just travelled to NCL and whose final destination was NCL and ABZ just to ABZ and not included in NCL figures. If they are seperate then ABZ is doing well and if they are separate then the NCL/ABZ flights as a whole are at 70% LF which is very good. If ABZ is generating 40% (~12 passengers) loads by itself then they may do it as a separate route in the future as T3 only need about 5/6 passengers to break even.


April
Number of Flights: 1,269
Percentage Change in Flights: 16.5%
Number of Passengers: 82,698
Percentage Change in Flights: 5.2%
Passenger Number Change April 2010: +4,088 (I hope my maths is right)

Rolling Year

Number of Flights: 17,038
Percentage Change in Flights: -11.4%
Number of Passengers: 1,362,580
Percentage Change in Flights: -11.4%



MARCH/-17,413/-15.7%
APRIL/-39,246/-33.9%
MAY/-26,619/-15.8%
JUNE/-24,337/-13.1%
JULY/-18,924/-10.4%
AUGUST/-16,257/-8.4%
SEPT/ -19,242/ -10.6%
OCT/ -12,947/ -8.4%
NOV/-6343/-8.01%
DEC/-10,195/-14.7%
JAN/-1907/-3.2%
FEB/-14,080/-18.1%
MARCH/-24,538/-26%
APRIL/+4,088/5%

We were expecting an increase in passenger figures but what is worrying is that we experienced the 6th lowest growth behind Lydd (3.7%), Penzance (3.6%), Cambridge (0%), Newquay (-10%), Shoreham (-61%). If it were not for the ash cloud we would have suffered quite a nasty drop in figures even with the Easter holidays.

This is a nice rest bite with, as I expect, quite heavy losses continuing for some time. If no carrier steps in for Baby then we will definitely see negative growth until at least Winter 2012 (even then it may be a bit hopeful), when the impact of baby departure will have surpassed a year.
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