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Old 29th Sep 2002, 01:46
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OverRun
Prof. Airport Engineer
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Oxford1G

This might be too late for your project, but here goes:

1. If the pilots are filling in a few loadsheets a day, then 100 pilots * a few * 365 = many load sheets per year. So we can use 'large population' statistics.
2. For an accuracy level of plus or minus 5 percentage points, the number of loadsheets needed to be checked is 384. Survey the 384 load sheets, and (assuming you get the figure of 20% errors), you can then say that you are 95% sure that the true percentage of inaccurate load sheets is between 15% and 25%.
3. For an accuracy level of plus or minus 3 percentage points, the number needed is 1067. You can then say that you are 95% sure that the true percentage of inaccurate load sheets is between 17% and 23%. 2 percentage points is 2401 samples.
4. Go to http://www.geocities.com/profemery/samplesize.htm for further calculations.

It would only be accurate to transfer the results if the other aircraft had very similar loadsheets and computations and pilots. For example, I guess that a Navajo Chieftain and a Cessna 441 would be fairly similar, but a Navajo and a 737NG would be rather different.
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