Anyone who wasn't wearing maritime tinted spectacles must have questioned the long term viability of Kinloss once the MRA4 order was cut to 9 aircraft.
The idea that the RAF would cram 70 odd aircraft (25 C-130J, 25 A400M, 14FSTA, 6 C-17) into Brize Norton (a situation that no doubt will have its own problems) but be content with all that "real estate" at Kinloss only being used for 9 MRA4 was never going to hold water.
As for Lossie, Leuchars, etc...no doubt the landslide win by the SNP and the prospect on a referendum on Scottish independence was all part of a Tory plot to ensure the demise of the MRA4 and the closure of Kinloss....