sittingidly,
1 in a gazillion? Dude if you have it all figured out then go make a couple hundred million a year running a hedge fund instead of busting your as# at EK for peanuts. Would Warren Buffet ever say the chances he could be wrong are "1 in a gazillion?" Are you the smarter than the self-made richest man in the world?
Now is probably an ideal time to buy property in Las Vegas. Are you suggesting that the US is on an irreversible downward slide? I think that is highly doubtful. Once the Iproducts, boeings, googles, microsofts, starbucks, mcdonalds, etc of the future are developed overseas then you might be onto something. I'm just a pilot but I would suggest it's a losing trade to bet against the US market over the long term.